polyrag

How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey? — 10

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $10.1k traded · market at 69%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey? — 10 0.680 0.700 69% 2027-11-03 $8.2k
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey? — Above 10 0.150 0.160 16% 2027-11-03 $1.8k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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