polyrag

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York? — Below 16

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $70 traded

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in New York? — Below 16 — 0.020 2.0% 2027-11-03 $49
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in New York? — 16 — 0.020 1.0% 2027-11-03 $21

How this settles

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The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.