polyrag

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? — 6

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $2.5k traded · market at 12%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? — 6 0.110 0.120 12% 2027-11-03 $2.4k
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? — Below 6 0.002 0.010 0.6% 2027-11-03 $152

How this settles

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