polyrag

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? — 8

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $7.1k traded · market at 32%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia? — 8 0.310 0.320 32% 2027-11-03 $7.1k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.