How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 3
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $94 traded · market at 2.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? — At least 3 | 0.010 | 0.040 | 2.5% | 2027-01-03 | $94 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com/
- ABC News — https://abcnews.go.com/
- Decision Desk HQ — https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/
- the New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- NBC News — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- CBS News — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/