How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested? — At least 1.5 million
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $50 traded · market at 19%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested? — At least 1.5 million | 0.150 | 0.230 | 19% | 2026-11-04 | $50 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- University of Florida Election Lab — https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2026-early-voting/