How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? — 100 to 499
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.5k traded · market at 52%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? — 100 to 499 | 0.480 | 0.560 | 52% | 2027-01-01 | $1.5k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- White House — https://whitehouse.gov/
- the Department of Justice — https://www.justice.gov
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/