polyrag

How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? — 50 to 99

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $171 traded · market at 5.3%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many people will Trump pardon in 2026? — 50 to 99 0.008 0.099 5.3% 2027-01-01 $171

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.