How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — Above 40
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $5.7k traded · market at 90%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — Above 40 | 0.050 | 0.910 | 48% | 2026-11-03 | $5.7k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- the Statistical Review of World Energy — https://kalshi.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
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