How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $581.6k traded · market at 36%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52 | 0.350 | 0.360 | 36% | 2027-02-01 | $465.9k |
| kalshi | How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 52 | 0.160 | 0.170 | 16% | 2027-02-01 | $102.6k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- United States Congress — https://www.congress.gov/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
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