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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Below 45

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $24.3k traded · market at 2.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Below 45 0.022 0.027 2.5% 2027-02-01 $16.2k
kalshi How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — 45 0.023 0.025 2.4% 2027-02-01 $8.1k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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