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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — Below 53

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $72.3k traded · market at 64%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — B 0.630 0.650 64% 2027-02-01 $68.2k
kalshi How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — 5 0.130 0.140 14% 2027-02-01 $9.1k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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