How many states will redistrict before the midterms? — Above 12
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $41 traded · market at 1.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many states will redistrict before the midterms? — Above 12 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 1.5% | 2026-11-03 | $22 |
| kalshi | How many states will redistrict before the midterms? — 12 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 1.5% | 2026-11-03 | $20 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- the Statistical Review of World Energy — https://kalshi.com/