How many states will redistrict before the midterms? — Below 8
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $5.2k traded · market at 94%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | How many states will redistrict before the midterms? — Below 8 | 0.930 | 0.950 | 94% | 2026-11-03 | $5.1k |
| kalshi | How many states will redistrict before the midterms? — 8 | 0.010 | 0.040 | 2.5% | 2026-11-03 | $110 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- the Statistical Review of World Energy — https://kalshi.com/