polyrag

Huon Valley mayoral election winner? — Abby McKibben

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.5k traded · market at 33%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Huon Valley mayoral election winner? — Abby McKibben 0.310 0.350 33% 2027-10-27 $2.5k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.