IA-04 House winner? — Dave Dawson
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $231 traded · market at 3.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | IA-04 House winner? — Dave Dawson | 0.020 | 0.048 | 3.4% | 2027-11-03 | $231 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Library of Congress — https://www.congress.gov/ bill status and votes — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.