ID-02 House winner? — Mike Simpson
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.3k traded · market at 96%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | ID-02 House winner? — Mike Simpson | 0.947 | 0.980 | 96% | 2027-11-03 | $2.3k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Library of Congress — https://www.congress.gov/ bill status and votes — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.