polyrag

Idaho Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.7k traded · market at 89%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Idaho Senate winner? (2028) — Republican party 0.870 0.905 89% 2029-11-07 $2.7k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.