polyrag

Idaho Senate winner? — Jim Risch

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $137.7k traded · market at 94%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Idaho Senate winner? — Jim Risch 0.943 0.944 94% 2027-11-03 $137.7k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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