IL-16 House winner? — Paul Nolley
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.0k traded · market at 4.5%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | IL-16 House winner? — Paul Nolley | 0.027 | 0.084 | 5.5% | 2027-11-03 | $1.0k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Library of Congress — https://www.congress.gov/ bill status and votes — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.