polyrag

Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8%

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $43.4k traded · market at 50%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8% 0.490 0.510 50% 2026-12-10 $36.0k
kalshi Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.3% 0.950 0.960 96% 2026-12-10 $8.1k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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