Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
kalshi · 4 contracts · 1 deadline · $60.6k traded · market at 98%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4% | 0.970 | 0.990 | 98% | 2026-10-14 | $61.2k |
| kalshi | Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.3% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 | $218 |
| kalshi | Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.4% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 | $204 |
| kalshi | Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Above 3.4% | — | 0.010 | 1.0% | 2026-10-14 | $73 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics — https://www.bls.gov/cpi/ CPI, Employment Situation — public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.