Iowa Senate winner? — Ashley Hinson
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.4M traded · market at 60%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Iowa Senate winner? — Ashley Hinson | 0.590 | 0.600 | 60% | 2027-11-03 | $1.4M |
| kalshi | Iowa Senate winner? (Person) — Ashley Hinson | 0.570 | 0.590 | 58% | 2027-11-03 | $7.2k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- United States Congress — https://www.congress.gov/
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