Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold — At least 3%
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $0 traded · market at 88%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold — At least 3% | 0.840 | 0.930 | 88% | 2027-02-03 | — |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Central Elections Committee for the Knesset — https://www.bechirot.gov.il/