Kraków mayoral election winner? — Łukasz Gibała
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $6.5k traded
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Kraków mayoral election winner? — Łukasz Gibała | 0.960 | — | 97% | 2027-09-27 | $6.5k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections — https://kalshi.com/
- in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission — https://kalshi.com/
- constitutional court — https://kalshi.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.