Labor majority in the NSW Legislative Assembly? — 47 or more
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $0 traded · market at 58%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Labor majority in the NSW Legislative Assembly? — 47 or more | 0.540 | 0.620 | 58% | 2028-03-12 | — |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- NSW Electoral Commission — https://elections.nsw.gov.au/