Lima Mayor winner? — Rafael López Aliaga
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $25.1k traded
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Lima Mayor winner? — Rafael López Aliaga | 0.840 | 0.880 | 86% | 2027-10-04 | $24.9k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections — https://kalshi.com/
- in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission — https://kalshi.com/
- constitutional court — https://kalshi.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- volume spike 40m ago
- price move 2h ago +0.060
- price move 2h ago +0.110
- volume spike 2h ago
- price move 2h ago -0.120
- price move 10h ago +0.060
- volume spike 10h ago
- price move 1d ago -0.075
- price move 1d ago +0.120
- price move 1d ago -0.115
- volume spike 1d ago
- price move 1d ago +0.070