polyrag

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — Nithya Raman, ≥12%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1 traded · market at 16%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) — Nithya Raman, ≥12 0.150 0.160 16% 2027-11-03 $1

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

Recent activity