polyrag

MA-08 House winner? — Stephen Lynch

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $388 traded · market at 97%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi MA-08 House winner? — Stephen Lynch 0.951 0.997 97% 2027-11-03 $388

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.