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Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins — Rogers loses, Collins wins

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $5.3k traded · market at 22%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins — Rogers loses, Collins wins 0.210 0.220 22% 2027-11-03 $4.3k
kalshi Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins — Rogers wins, Collins loses 0.070 0.080 7.5% 2027-11-03 $1.2k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.