polyrag

Michigan Governor election: John James vote percent — At least 50%

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.9k traded · market at 90%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Michigan Governor election: Jocelyn Benson vote percent — At least 50% 0.870 0.930 90% 2027-11-03 $1.9k
kalshi Michigan Governor election: John James vote percent — At least 50% 0.020 0.110 6.5% 2027-11-03 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.