polyrag

Michigan Senate winner? — Abdul El-Sayed

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $2.5M traded · market at 68%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Michigan Senate winner? — Abdul El-Sayed 0.670 0.680 68% 2027-11-03 $1.9M
kalshi Michigan Senate winner? (Person) — Abdul El-Sayed 0.670 0.680 68% 2027-11-03 $655.9k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

Recent activity