Midterms: Democratic share of men's vote? — Above 50%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $5 traded · market at 18%

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.