Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — Above 14%
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $170 traded · market at 4.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — Above 14% | 0.030 | 0.060 | 4.5% | 2026-11-06 | $170 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- ABC News — https://abcnews.go.com/
- CBS News — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com/