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Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — Above 8%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.0k traded · market at 73%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

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kalshi Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? — Above 8% 0.690 0.770 73% 2026-11-06 $2.0k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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