polyrag

Midterms: which party wins independents? — Republican party

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $747 traded

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Midterms: which party wins independents? — Republican party 0.140 0.230 18% 2026-11-06 $747

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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