polyrag

Midterms: which party wins white women? — Republican party

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $354 traded · market at 28%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Midterms: which party wins white women? — Republican party 0.270 0.300 28% 2026-11-06 $353
kalshi Midterms: which party wins white suburban women? — Republican party 0.010 0.090 5.0% 2026-11-06 $1

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.