polyrag

Midterms: which party wins young men? — Democratic party

kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $913 traded

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Midterms: which party wins young men? — Democratic party 0.800 0.890 84% 2026-11-06 $913
kalshi Midterms: which party wins men? — Democratic party 0.010 0.980 50% 2026-11-06 —

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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