MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent — At least 58%
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $7.1k traded · market at 92%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent — At least 58% | 0.890 | 0.940 | 92% | 2027-11-03 | $7.1k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- official government website of <geography> — https://www.usa.gov/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.