polyrag

MO-08 House election: Jason Smith vote percent — At least 70%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.5k traded · market at 62%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi MO-08 House election: Jason Smith vote percent — At least 70% 0.570 0.670 62% 2027-11-03 $2.5k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.