New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027
kalshi · 5 contracts · 4 deadlines · $29.8k traded · market at 14%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2027 | 0.130 | 0.160 | 14% | 2027-01-01 | $24.8k |
| kalshi | New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before 2028 | 0.420 | 0.460 | 44% | 2028-01-01 | $2.0k |
| kalshi | New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before June 2027 | 0.180 | 0.200 | 19% | 2027-06-01 | $1.9k |
| kalshi | New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Jan 21, 2029 | 0.650 | 0.730 | 69% | 2029-01-21 | $1.1k |
| kalshi | New Supreme Court justice confirmed? — Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 | $174 |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Library of Congress — https://www.congress.gov
Recent activity
- volume spike 1d ago
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- price move 2d ago +0.050