New York Governor winner? — Kathy Hochul
kalshi polymarket · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $554.5k traded · market at 94%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | New York Governor winner? — Kathy Hochul | 0.939 | 0.944 | 94% | 2027-11-03 | $505.2k |
| polymarket | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | 0.930 | 0.940 | 94% | expected | $49.5k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- US State Governments — https://www.usa.gov/state-governments
Recent activity
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