New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? — Christopher Luxon
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.7k traded · market at 53%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | New Zealand Prime Minister after the election? — Christopher Luxon | 0.490 | 0.570 | 53% | 2027-11-07 | $1.7k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Governor-General of New Zealand — https://gg.govt.nz/office-governor-general/roles-and-functio
- Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet — https://www.dpmc.govt.nz/our-business-units/cabinet-office/s
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.