Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) — Raphaël Glucksmann
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $289 traded · market at 9.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) — Raphaël Glucksmann | 0.090 | 0.100 | 9.5% | 2028-04-18 | $271 |
| kalshi | Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round) — Raphaël Glucksmann | 0.010 | 0.020 | 1.5% | 2028-04-18 | $17 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Conseil constitutionnel — https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.