Next government of the United Kingdom? — Conservative majority
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1 traded · market at 3.9%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Next government of the United Kingdom? — Conservative majority | 0.011 | 0.066 | 3.9% | 2030-01-01 | $1 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- country — https://kalshi.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.