polyrag

Next government of the United Kingdom? — Labour majority

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $154 traded · market at 14%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Next government of the United Kingdom? — Labour majority 0.110 0.170 14% 2030-01-01 $154

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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