polyrag

Nigerian presidential election winner? — Kashim Shettima

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2 traded · market at 2.1%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Nigerian presidential election winner? — Kashim Shettima 0.001 0.041 2.1% 2028-02-28 $2

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.