October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.3%
kalshi · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $112 traded · market at 9.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exac | 0.080 | 0.130 | 10% | 2026-11-10 | $69 |
| kalshi | October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.4% | 0.020 | 0.050 | 3.5% | 2026-11-10 | $22 |
| kalshi | October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core — Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exact | 0.120 | 0.160 | 14% | 2026-11-10 | $20 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Bureau of Labor Statistics — https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Bureau of Labor Statistics — https://www.bls.gov/cpi/ CPI, Employment Situation — public API
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors — https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars. rates and series — FRED public API
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.