polyrag

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 13, 2026? — Above $83.99

kalshi · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $409 traded · market at 98%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 13, 2026? — Above $83.99 0.980 0.990 98% 2026-10-13 $403
kalshi Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 14, 2026? — Above $83.99 0.970 0.990 98% 2026-10-14 $6

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.