polyrag

Ottawa mayoral election winner? — Jeff Leiper

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $108 traded · market at 3.9%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Ottawa mayoral election winner? — Jeff Leiper 0.029 0.049 3.9% 2027-10-26 $108

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.